Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 3.632874 4.051306 4.505919 5.037754 5.644398 6.316578 7.120191
2025-03-30 3.025872 3.584375 4.235589 5.055687 6.067448 7.283240 8.867488
2025-04-06 2.616481 3.237981 4.001060 5.016279 6.345610 8.046607 10.419642
2025-04-13 2.231342 2.853915 3.648874 4.752188 6.265660 8.301283 11.302085
2025-04-20 2.034959 2.680247 3.533647 4.764316 6.526048 9.007918 12.861875
2025-04-27 1.906009 2.577614 3.494488 4.863840 6.902987 9.903006 14.797571
2025-05-04 1.796721 2.488121 3.459455 4.957180 7.269936 10.812635 16.868462
2025-05-11 1.691848 2.393221 3.404316 5.009195 7.571281 11.645456 18.921322
2025-05-18 1.596777 2.303044 3.345584 5.045343 7.844493 12.455306 21.040533
2025-05-25 1.468475 2.152248 3.181587 4.897807 7.798872 12.722643 22.224925
2025-06-01 1.375716 2.048269 3.080454 4.839981 7.892743 13.232096 23.918100
2025-06-08 1.297655 1.961141 2.998320 4.804336 8.017570 13.804467 25.807912
2025-06-15 1.269077 1.952074 3.043264 4.992068 8.565653 15.233691 29.684200
2025-06-22 1.203444 1.878350 2.976305 4.979175 8.746567 15.991241 32.294119
2025-06-29 1.138187 1.800566 2.896325 4.934956 8.862048 16.631529 34.754589
2025-07-06 1.041655 1.664191 2.706777 4.674896 8.533799 16.332265 35.022146
2025-07-13 0.998348 1.615549 2.665862 4.686622 8.741899 17.170774 38.114809
2025-07-20 0.971821 1.593927 2.670590 4.784218 9.132365 18.447233 42.519806
2025-07-27 0.946064 1.571821 2.672496 4.875766 9.519006 19.765211 47.295937
2025-08-03 0.916199 1.540417 2.654963 4.926782 9.823788 20.936155 51.922756
2025-08-10 0.886203 1.506870 2.630970 4.962236 10.097514 22.069867 56.687359
2025-08-17 0.835028 1.431672 2.523666 4.817528 9.952578 22.169161 58.473803
2025-08-24 0.798395 1.381409 2.460882 4.760807 10.002615 22.758670 61.855512